Data network connectivity developments, networking business news, and related computing items.
Saturday, January 17, 2004
Due Diligence: Great commentary on Silicon Valley: "The Next Big Thing is a narrative we lay on top of the events after they happen, when we make our myths of the FairChildren, Steve and Steve, and kids from Cham-bana who changed the world. Heros, villains, goats, motives, plot points, morals of the story. All a mirage, induced by survivorship bias.
The Next Big Thing sneaks up from behind while you're trying to do your work, kicks your ass, walks over you, and either rifles your pockets or drops gold into your hands. If it's gold, they write a story about it one day. The others you never hear about, unless you live here and know them personally Galahad knew what he was looking for, we don't. Anyone tells you different, you're talking to a liar." His own history, including Apple, Kalieda, and Compuserve, illustrates the point. 10:57:18 PM
Why Multimedia Publishing is a Crock
: A 1991 piece from an Apple engineer on why "multimedia" would fail and networks would win. Funny reading both the good (salience vs production values) and bad now: "Where would such a network come from? While the current Internet is a harbinger, itís too hard to use, is tied to desktop machinery, and has the wrong economic structure. One of the requirements for progress is more bandwidth, which enables users to send higher volumes of information in shorter periods of time. The proposed NREN (National Research and Education Network) high-bandwidth backbone (powerful computers connected by high-speed communications lines) has the problem of being overtly subsidized and controlled by government, which is unlikely to lead to a market structure ó and it seems unwise to entrust the bureaucrats that gave us NASA and DOE with the potential core of an information society." 10:50:28 PM
Cell Phone Cameras Share Blotchy Moments: "Tens of millions of these less-than perfect pictures were snapped and e-mailed from cell phones in the US during 2003, the first full year such services were available. News organizations are publishing cell photos from their readers to help cover stories. And an untold number of mobile phone snapshots are being posted daily to "moblogs," a visual form of the online journals better known as Web logs, or blogs. ..
Of the roughly 75 million camera phones shipped worldwide in 2003, only 6 million went to the United States, compared with more than 35 million to Japan, according to Strategy Analytics Ltd., a British consulting firm. Likewise, North America accounted for just 1.7 million of the world's 24 million "active" users of camera phones, compared with a combined 21.6 million in Japan and South Korea. ..
Though one- and two-megapixel camera phones like those available overseas are expected here this year, none of the handsets now sold in the United States offer better than 0.3 megapixels, less than a third of the resolution of the lowest-end standalone digital camera. ..
To share picture messages with other cell phone users [rather than email or moblogs], those people must all be signed up with the same wireless service. Rival carriers have not reached any deals to interconnect their services." 10:25:38 PM