Updated: 5/16/2006; 2:22:25 PM.

Current events
Post-9-11 events and analyses

daily link  Thursday, April 22, 2004

Bad news not hurting Bush in polls:  "A Gallup Poll released Tuesday showed Bush winning re-election in a hypothetical matchup with 51 percent of the votes to 46 percent for Kerry. A similar Gallup survey taken in early March just after Kerry wrapped up the Democratic nomination showed Kerry ahead of Bush 52 percent to 44 percent.   The results mirror a Washington Post-ABC News poll, also published Tuesday, that found Bush ahead of Kerry 48 percent to 43 percent, almost exactly opposite a poll taken five weeks earlier by the news organizations. Independent Ralph Nader attracted 6 percent of the vote in the latest survey." 

How do we reconcile this with the results from two weeks ago:"The University of Pennsylvania's National Annenberg Election Survey compared attitudes about the candidates in the first half of March with those in the second half and found that changes in their favorable ratings were "statistically insignificant" in the 18 battleground states where the most ads have run."  National versus battleground states, in different time periods; but a difference of 8% seems hard to reconcile.

  4:36:36 PM  permalink  

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Copyright 2006 © Ken Novak.
Last update: 5/16/2006; 2:22:25 PM.